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La Liga
La Liga Spain
31.01.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
31.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Barcelona

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
1 : 3
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Barcelona January 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.08 / X 6.10 / 2 1.31
  • 1X2 market: Elche 11.8% / X 15.6% / Barcelona 72.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 11.8%
X 15.6%
2 72.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 70.6%
Under 2.5 29.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Elche - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.31 market consensus · line only
X 6.12 market consensus · line only
1 8.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.09 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 3.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.23 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
8.55 11.7%
X 6.38 15.7%
1.31 76.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
7.90 12.7% 8.20 12.2% 7.70 13.0% 7.50 13.3% 8.00 12.5% 8.50 11.8%
X 5.60 17.9% 6.10 16.4% 6.56 15.2% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.10 16.4%
1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.25 44.4% 2.26 44.3% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.16 46.3% 2.28 43.9%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9%
home_away 1.09 91.7% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 3.30 30.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.44 29.1%
Match center
Elche
L D D L W
23.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:3 LevanteLevante
19.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 SevillaSevilla
10.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 ValenciaValencia
03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Barcelona
W L W W W
25.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 OviedoOviedo
18.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
21.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 OsasunaOsasuna
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Barcelona

Elche
1 matches total
Barcelona
Elche: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 1:3 (02.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 02.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

02.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche
1:3
Barselona