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La Liga
La Liga Spain
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
28.09.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
2 : 1
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Elche go head-to-head with Celta Vigo on September 28, 2025 in the La Liga, Spain.

Recent form (W-D-L): Elche 2-3-0, Celta Vigo 0-5-0. Sportsbooks lean towards Celta Vigo, an implied 35% to win. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Celta Vigo September 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.80 / X 3.12 / 2 2.69
  • 1X2 market: Elche 34.1% / X 30.5% / Celta Vigo 35.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0% 13 books · best price +3.0%
1 34.1%
X 30.5%
2 35.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 44.1%
Under 2.5 55.9%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Betano, Betfair). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.09.2025 14:15 UTC
Market 1 34.0% @ 2.80 / X 30.5% @ 3.12 / 2 35.4% @ 2.69
Match center

Elche - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.69 market consensus · line only
X 3.13 market consensus · line only
1 2.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.91 34.4%
X 3.18 31.5%
2.70 37.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
2.76 36.2% 2.85 35.1% 2.87 34.8% 2.80 35.7% 2.77 36.1% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.26 30.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.66 37.6% 2.66 37.6% 2.78 36.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.91 52.4% 2.03 49.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 2.01 49.8% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.78 56.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.45 69.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8%
Match center
Elche
D W D W D
25.09 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:0 OviedoOviedo
12.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 SevillaSevilla
29.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:0 LevanteLevante
23.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Celta Vigo
D D D D D
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 GironaGirona
31.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 VillarrealVillarreal
27.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
23.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 MallorcaMallorca
0 Wins
5 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Celta Vigo

Elche
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history