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La Liga
La Liga Spain
13.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
13.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Osasuna

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
0 : 0
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Osasuna February 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.89 / X 3.11 / 2 2.61
  • 1X2 market: Elche 32.9% / X 30.6% / Osasuna 36.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 32.9%
X 30.6%
2 36.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 44.7%
Under 2.5 55.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Elche - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.11 market consensus · line only
1 2.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.96 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.97 33.7%
X 3.15 31.8%
2.68 37.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.78 36.0% 2.95 33.9% 2.99 33.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.21 31.2% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
2.60 38.5% 2.56 39.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 2.04 49.0% 1.94 51.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4%
Match center
Elche
L L L D D
07.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
31.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
23.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:3 LevanteLevante
19.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 SevillaSevilla
10.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 ValenciaValencia
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
2 Points
Osasuna
W D W W L
06.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 SeltaSelta
31.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:2 VillarrealVillarreal
24.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
17.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 OviedoOviedo
10.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 GironaGirona
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Osasuna

Elche
1 matches total
Osasuna
Elche: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 25.09 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (25.09 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

25.09 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche
1:1
Osasuna