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La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.01.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
19.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Sevilla

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
2 : 2
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Sevilla January 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Elche.

Line favourite market consensus: Elche. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.18 / 2 3.17
  • 1X2 market: Elche 39.9% / X 30.0% / Sevilla 30.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 39.9%
X 30.0%
2 30.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 40.7%
Under 2.5 59.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Elche - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.58 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.37 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.44 41.0%
X 3.22 31.1%
3.26 30.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.36 42.4% 2.28 43.9% 2.51 39.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.23 31.0% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.58 63.3%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Elche
D L W L W
10.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 ValenciaValencia
03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 MallorcaMallorca
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 3:0 GironaGirona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Sevilla
L L L W D
12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 SeltaSelta
04.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:3 LevanteLevante
20.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
14.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 4:0 OviedoOviedo
07.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Sevilla

Elche
1 matches total
Sevilla
Elche: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 12.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (12.09 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

12.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche
2:2
Sevilla