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La Liga
La Liga Spain
03.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction
03.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Elche - Villarreal

Spain Football
Elche
Elche
1 : 3
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Elche - Villarreal January 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.44 / X 3.42 / 2 2.14
  • 1X2 market: Elche 27.7% / X 27.9% / Villarreal 44.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 27.7%
X 27.8%
2 44.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 52.5%
Under 2.5 47.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Elche - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.15 market consensus · line only
X 3.43 market consensus · line only
1 3.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.73 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.17 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.55 28.2%
X 3.51 28.5%
2.17 46.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.35 29.9% 3.55 28.2% 3.54 28.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
2.14 46.7% 2.11 47.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.13 47.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.11 47.4% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Elche
W L W L D
21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 4:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:3 MallorcaMallorca
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 3:0 GironaGirona
28.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 0:1 GetafeGetafe
23.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Villarreal
L W W W W
21.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
06.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 GetafeGetafe
30.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
22.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
08.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyElche - Villarreal

Elche
0 matches total
Villarreal
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history