Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
17.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Espanyol
Espanyol
2 : 1
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Atletico Madrid August 17, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite Fonbet: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.70 / X 3.90 / 2 1.65
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 16.9% / X 24.7% / Atletico Madrid 58.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 16.9%
X 24.7%
2 58.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 51.3%
Under 2.5 48.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 17.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 Fonbet · line only
X 3.90 Fonbet · line only
1 5.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.04 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.88 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.78 17.3%
X 3.91 25.6%
1.66 60.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.40 18.5% 5.50 18.2% 5.66 17.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2%
X 3.85 26.0% 4.00 25.0% 4.22 23.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.85 26.0%
1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.20 45.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.30 43.5%
Match center
Espanyol
W L L L L
24.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
11.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:3 Leganes
04.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:2 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Atletico Madrid
W W L W D
25.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:0 GironaGirona
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:1 Real BetisReal Betis
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 4:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
03.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:0 AlavesAlaves
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Atletico Madrid

Espanyol
0 matches total
Atletico Madrid
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history