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La Liga Spain

14.02.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

14.02.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Espanyol - Celta Vigo

Spain Football

Espanyol

2 : 2

Finished

Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Celta Vigo February 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.02 / 2 2.89
1X2 market: Espanyol 35.7% / X 31.5% / Celta Vigo 32.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 35.6%

X 31.5%

2 32.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 39.2%

Under 2.5 60.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.02.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Espanyol - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.90 market consensus · line only

X 3.02 market consensus · line only

1 2.67 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.48 market consensus · line only

12 1.38 market consensus · line only

1X 1.41 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.51 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.89 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.64 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.79 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.74 36.5%
X	3.08 32.5%
	2.96 33.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.62 38.2%	2.66 37.6%	2.75 36.4%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.70 37.0%
X	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.14 31.9%	2.90 34.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%
	2.80 35.7%	2.95 33.9%	2.99 33.4%	2.80 35.7%	2.80 35.7%	2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.80 55.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.84 54.4%
yes	1.95 51.3%	1.96 51.0%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.99 50.3%	2.04 49.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.51 66.2%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.41 70.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.40 71.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.36 73.5%

Match center

Espanyol

L L L L D

09.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:4 Villarreal

30.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:2 Alaves

24.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 2:3 Valencia

16.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 0:2 Girona

11.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Espanyol 1:1 Levante

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.4 Conceded

1 Points

Celta Vigo

L D L W W

06.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:2 Osasuna

01.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 0:0 Getafe

25.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:3 Real Sociedad

18.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 3:0 Rayo Vallecano

12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:0 Sevilla

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Celta Vigo

Espanyol

2 matches total

Celta Vigo

Espanyol: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Espanyol 2:0 (12.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 12.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

30.11 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Espanyol

1:0

Selta

12.04 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Espanyol

2:0

Selta