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La Liga
La Liga Spain
16.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Girona

Spain Football
Espanyol
Espanyol
0 : 2
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Girona January 16, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.49 / 2 4.52
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 51.4% / X 27.4% / Girona 21.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 51.4%
X 27.4%
2 21.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 16.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.53 market consensus · line only
X 3.49 market consensus · line only
1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.00 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.86 53.8%
X 3.54 28.3%
4.75 21.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.82 55.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
4.50 22.2% 4.45 22.5% 4.68 21.4% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2% 4.70 21.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.89 52.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Espanyol
D L W W W
11.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:1 LevanteLevante
03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
22.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 GetafeGetafe
07.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Girona
W W L W L
10.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
21.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:3 ElcheElche
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Girona

Espanyol
1 matches total
Girona
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Girona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (26.09 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
0:0
Girona