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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.09.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
23.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Espanyol - Valencia

Spain Football
Espanyol
Espanyol
2 : 2
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Espanyol - Valencia September 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Espanyol.

Line favourite market consensus: Espanyol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.19 / 2 3.31
  • 1X2 market: Espanyol 41.4% / X 29.9% / Valencia 28.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 41.4%
X 29.8%
2 28.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.8%
Under 2.5 57.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Espanyol - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.31 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 2.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.37 42.2%
X 3.24 30.9%
3.37 29.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.28 43.9% 2.29 43.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.32 30.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8%
3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.34 74.6% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Espanyol
L W W D W
20.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 3:2 MallorcaMallorca
31.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
17.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Valencia
W L W L D
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:6 BarselonaBarselona
29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:0 GetafeGetafe
24.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 OsasunaOsasuna
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyEspanyol - Valencia

Espanyol
1 matches total
Valencia
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Valencia: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 22.04 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (22.04 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol
1:1
Valencia