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La Liga
La Liga Spain
01.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Getafe
Getafe
0 : 0
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Celta Vigo February 1, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.92 / X 2.81 / 2 2.85
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 32.7% / X 33.9% / Celta Vigo 33.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 32.6%
X 33.9%
2 33.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 30.0%
Under 2.5 70.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.86 market consensus · line only
X 2.81 market consensus · line only
1 2.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.13 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.96 33.8%
X 2.86 35.0%
2.95 33.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.92 34.3% 2.91 34.4% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.90 34.5%
X 2.75 36.4% 2.83 35.3% 2.94 34.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.82 35.5%
2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.91 34.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.87 34.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.40 41.7% 2.39 41.8% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.36 42.4% 2.51 39.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
Match center
Getafe
D L L D L
26.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 GironaGirona
18.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 ValenciaValencia
09.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
02.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:4 Real BetisReal Betis
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Celta Vigo
L W W W D
25.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
18.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 SevillaSevilla
03.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 4:1 ValenciaValencia
20.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:0 OviedoOviedo
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Celta Vigo

Getafe
2 matches total
Celta Vigo
Getafe: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celta Vigo: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Getafe 2:0 (17.08 15:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 24.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

17.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe
2:0
Selta
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe
1:2
Selta