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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.01.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Getafe - Valencia

Spain Football
Getafe
Getafe
0 : 1
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Getafe - Valencia January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Getafe.

Line favourite market consensus: Getafe. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.51 / X 2.74 / 2 3.49
  • 1X2 market: Getafe 38.0% / X 34.7% / Valencia 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 70.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 37.9%
X 34.8%
2 27.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 29.2%
Under 2.5 70.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.01.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Getafe - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.50 market consensus · line only
X 2.74 market consensus · line only
1 2.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.45 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.34 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.35 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.52 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.49 40.2%
X 2.80 35.7%
3.71 27.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.56 39.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%
X 2.74 36.5% 2.68 37.3% 2.86 35.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4%
3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7%
yes 2.40 41.7% 2.43 41.2% 2.36 42.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.41 41.5% 2.52 39.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.59 62.9%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.49 67.1%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.33 75.2%
Match center
Getafe
L D L L L
09.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
02.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
21.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:4 Real BetisReal Betis
13.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
06.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Valencia
D L D L D
10.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 ElcheElche
03.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:4 SeltaSelta
19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 MallorcaMallorca
13.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
07.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 SevillaSevilla
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGetafe - Valencia

Getafe
3 matches total
Valencia
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Valencia: 2 (66.7%)
Biggest win Valencia 0:3 (29.08 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 29.08 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.10 14:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 7
7 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe
0:3
Valencia
10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe
0:3
Valencia
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe
1:1
Valencia