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La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.04.2025 12:00 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Alaves

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
0 : 1
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Alaves April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.39 / 2 4.13
  • 1X2 market: Girona 48.1% / X 28.5% / Alaves 23.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 48.1%
X 28.5%
2 23.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 43.1%
Under 2.5 56.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.13 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.86 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
X 3.39 29.5%
4.13 24.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.86 53.8%
home_away 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.26 79.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.24 44.6%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.43 69.9%
2.95 33.9%
Match center
Girona
L L W D D
26.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
06.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
29.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SeltaSelta
25.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Alaves
L L L L L
26.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:3 Valladolid
06.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:2 GetafeGetafe
24.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Alaves

Girona
0 matches total
Alaves
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history