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La Liga
La Liga Spain
08.11.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
08.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Alaves

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
1 : 0
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Alaves November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.18 / 2 3.32
  • 1X2 market: Girona 41.4% / X 30.0% / Alaves 28.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 41.4%
X 29.9%
2 28.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.7%
Under 2.5 58.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.29 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.82 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.94 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.33 42.9%
X 3.26 30.7%
3.43 29.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.30 43.5% 2.28 43.9% 2.39 41.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.29 30.4% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.15 31.8%
3.25 30.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.42 29.2% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.97 50.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 2.01 49.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.66 60.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Girona
L D L W D
31.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 GetafeGetafe
25.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 3:3 OviedoOviedo
18.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
04.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 ValenciaValencia
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:0 EspanyolEspanyol
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Alaves
W L D W L
02.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
26.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:0 ValenciaValencia
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 3:1 ElcheElche
27.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Alaves

Girona
1 matches total
Alaves
Girona: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Alaves: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Alaves 0:1 (05.04 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 05.04 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona
0:1
Alaves