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La Liga
La Liga Spain
26.09.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
26.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Espanyol

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
0 : 0
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Espanyol September 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.59 / X 3.32 / 2 2.84
  • 1X2 market: Girona 37.2% / X 29.0% / Espanyol 33.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 37.1%
X 29.0%
2 33.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 47.9%
Under 2.5 52.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 market consensus · line only
X 3.32 market consensus · line only
1 2.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.79 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.61 38.3%
X 3.35 29.9%
2.90 34.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7% 2.55 39.2% 2.59 38.6% 2.61 38.3% 2.61 38.3%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.42 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.32 30.1% 3.35 29.9% 3.35 29.9%
2.80 35.7% 2.89 34.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.83 35.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.12 47.2% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.16 46.3% 2.05 48.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Girona
D L D L L
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 LevanteLevante
14.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 SeltaSelta
30.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:2 SevillaSevilla
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:5 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.6 Conceded
2 Points
Espanyol
D L W W D
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 ValenciaValencia
20.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 3:2 MallorcaMallorca
31.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Espanyol

Girona
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history