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La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.10.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Girona - Oviedo

Spain Football
Girona
Girona
3 : 3
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Girona - Oviedo October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Girona.

Line favourite market consensus: Girona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.57 / 2 4.89
  • 1X2 market: Girona 53.7% / X 26.7% / Oviedo 19.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 53.7%
X 26.8%
2 19.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.9%
Under 2.5 53.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Girona - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.58 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.64 27.5%
5.11 19.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.69 27.1% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.70 27.0%
4.55 22.0% 4.95 20.2% 5.15 19.4% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2% 1.97 50.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Girona
L W D D L
18.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
04.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 2:1 ValenciaValencia
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:0 EspanyolEspanyol
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:4 LevanteLevante
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Oviedo
L L W L L
17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
04.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 LevanteLevante
30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 2:1 ValenciaValencia
25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:3 BarselonaBarselona
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 ElcheElche
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGirona - Oviedo

Girona
0 matches total
Oviedo
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history