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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.09.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Levante - Real Madrid

Spain Football
Levante
Levante
1 : 4
Finished
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Levante - Real Madrid September 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 8.40 / X 5.83 / 2 1.31
  • 1X2 market: Levante 11.3% / X 16.3% / Real Madrid 72.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 11.3%
X 16.3%
2 72.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 67.4%
Under 2.5 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.09.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Levante - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.32 market consensus · line only
X 5.84 market consensus · line only
1 8.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 3.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
8.27 12.1%
X 5.98 16.7%
1.34 74.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
8.60 11.6% 8.40 11.9% 8.70 11.5% 8.00 12.5% 9.00 11.1% 8.75 11.4%
X 5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 5.99 16.7% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7%
1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.69 59.2% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.07 93.5% 1.08 92.6% 1.08 92.6% 1.07 93.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 3.35 29.9% 3.42 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0% 3.48 28.7%
Match center
Levante
W D L L L
20.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Levante 4:0 GironaGirona
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
29.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 0:2 ElcheElche
23.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 2:3 BarselonaBarselona
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Levante 1:2 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Real Madrid
W W W W W
20.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
13.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
30.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
24.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:0 OviedoOviedo
19.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLevante - Real Madrid

Levante
0 matches total
Real Madrid
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history