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La Liga Spain

17.01.2026 15:15 UTC Match prediction

17.01.2026 15:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Mallorca - Athletic Club

Spain Football

Mallorca

3 : 2

Finished

Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Athletic Club January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.75 / X 3.12 / 2 2.16
1X2 market: Mallorca 25.4% / X 30.5% / Athletic Club 44.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 25.4%

X 30.5%

2 44.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%

Over 2.5 42.4%

Under 2.5 57.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.01.2026 15:15 UTC

Match center

Mallorca - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.17 market consensus · line only

X 3.13 market consensus · line only

1 3.76 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.28 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.71 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.14 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.32 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.84 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.89 25.7%
X	3.20 31.3%
	2.18 45.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	3.60 27.8%	3.90 25.6%	3.90 25.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.75 26.7%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%
	2.18 45.9%	2.14 46.7%	2.22 45.1%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.84 54.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.88 53.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.91 52.4%
yes	1.90 52.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.88 53.2%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.30 76.9%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.39 71.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.40 71.4%
home_draw	1.67 59.9%	1.74 57.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%

Match center

Mallorca

L L D W D

11.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Rayo Vallecano

04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Girona

19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:1 Valencia

13.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 3:1 Elche

05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:0 Oviedo

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Athletic Club

D L L W L

03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:1 Osasuna

22.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:2 Espanyol

14.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:2 Selta

06.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:0 Atletiko Madrid

03.12 18:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:3 Real Madrid

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Athletic Club

Mallorca

2 matches total

Athletic Club

Mallorca: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Athletic Club: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Athletic Club 1:2 (04.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 04.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (28.10 20:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.10 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Mallorca

1:2

Athletic Club

28.10 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Mallorca

0:0

Athletic Club