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Start
21.09.2025 14:15 UTC
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21.09.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Mallorca - Atletico Madrid
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Mallorca - Atletico Madrid September 21, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.03 / X 3.52 / 2 1.77
- 1X2 market: Mallorca 19.0% / X 27.1% / Atletico Madrid 53.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
19.0%
X
27.1%
2
53.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Mallorca - Atletico Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.77
market consensus · line only
X
3.52
market consensus · line only
1
5.04
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.18
market consensus · line only
12
1.30
market consensus · line only
1X
2.07
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.19
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.01
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.76
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.45
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.22
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.68
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.73
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.05
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 5.13 19.5% | |
| X | 3.57 28.0% |
| 1.79 55.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.00 20.0% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.32 18.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.10 19.6% | 5.00 20.0% | |
| X | 3.50 28.6% | 3.55 28.2% | 3.58 27.9% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| 1.74 57.5% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.73 57.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.73 57.8% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.07 48.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_away | 1.25 80.0% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% |
| home_draw | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% |
Match center
Mallorca
L
L
D
L
D
15.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Mallorca
2:3
Espanyol
Espanyol
30.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Mallorca
1:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
23.08 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Mallorca
1:1
Selta
Selta
16.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Mallorca
0:3
Barselona
Barselona
24.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Mallorca
0:0
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
2
Points
Atletico Madrid
W
D
D
L
W
13.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
30.08 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
1:1
Alaves
Alaves
23.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
1:1
Elche
Elche
17.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
1:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
25.05 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Atletico Madrid
4:0
Girona
Girona
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
0.8
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Atletico Madrid
Mallorca
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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