Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
16.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Barcelona

Spain Football
Mallorca
Mallorca
0 : 3
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Mallorca take on Barcelona on August 16, 2025 in the La Liga, Spain.

Recent form (W-D-L): Mallorca 1-1-3, Barcelona 4-0-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Barcelona at roughly 70%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Barcelona August 16, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite Fonbet: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 7.80 / X 5.40 / 2 1.40
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 12.5% / X 18.0% / Barcelona 69.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9% 18 books · best price +10.3%
1 12.2%
X 17.8%
2 70.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 63.4%
Under 2.5 36.6%

Odds source: consensus of 18 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 16.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Market 1 12.5% @ 7.80 / X 18.0% @ 5.40 / 2 69.5% @ 1.40
Match center

Mallorca - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.40 Fonbet · line only
X 5.40 Fonbet · line only
1 7.80 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.08 Fonbet · line only
12 1.15 Fonbet · line only
1X 2.95 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.77 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
8.35 12.0%
X 5.44 18.4%
1.37 73.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
7.50 13.3% 7.70 13.0% 8.80 11.4% 7.50 13.3% 7.50 13.3% 8.25 12.1%
X 5.25 19.1% 5.60 17.9% 5.62 17.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.30 18.9%
1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 2.10 47.6% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.08 92.6%
home_away 1.11 90.1% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 3.00 33.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3%
Match center
Mallorca
D L L W L
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 GetafeGetafe
14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:1 Valladolid
05.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:1 GironaGirona
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Barcelona
W L W W W
25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:3 VillarrealVillarreal
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 4:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 Valladolid
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Barcelona

Mallorca
1 matches total
Barcelona
Mallorca: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 0:1 (22.04 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 22.04 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
0:1
Barselona