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La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.04.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Mallorca
Mallorca
1 : 2
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Celta Vigo April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mallorca.

Line favourite market consensus: Mallorca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.18 / 2 3.00
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 37.3% / X 30.5% / Celta Vigo 32.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 37.3%
X 30.5%
2 32.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.60 38.5%
X 3.18 31.5%
3.00 33.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.42 70.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.18 45.9%
Under 2.5 1.73 57.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.80 55.6%
2.07 48.3%
Match center
Mallorca
D W L W W
28.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:1 Valladolid
23.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:1 Real BetisReal Betis
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Celta Vigo
L L W D L
27.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:3 Leganes
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
29.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 1:1 GironaGirona
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Celta Vigo

Mallorca
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history