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La Liga Spain

23.08.2025 15:00 UTC Match prediction

23.08.2025 15:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Mallorca - Celta Vigo

Spain Football

Mallorca

1 : 1

Finished

Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Celta Vigo August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celta Vigo.

Line favourite market consensus: Celta Vigo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.03 / X 3.10 / 2 2.51
1X2 market: Mallorca 31.5% / X 30.7% / Celta Vigo 37.8%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 31.4%

X 30.7%

2 37.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 42.3%

Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.08.2025 15:00 UTC

Match center

Mallorca - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.51 market consensus · line only

X 3.11 market consensus · line only

1 3.04 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.39 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.54 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.42 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.12 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.86 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.90 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.19 31.4%
X	3.20 31.3%
	2.49 40.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.94 34.0%	3.05 32.8%	3.12 32.1%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	2.95 33.9%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.15 31.8%	3.20 31.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%
	2.54 39.4%	2.53 39.5%	2.62 38.2%	2.45 40.8%	2.45 40.8%	2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.94 51.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.94 51.6%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.87 53.5%	1.87 53.5%	1.91 52.4%	1.91 52.4%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.87 53.5%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.38 72.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.41 70.9%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.39 71.9%
home_draw	1.50 66.7%	1.56 64.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%

Match center

Mallorca

L D L L W

16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:3 Barselona

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:0 Rayo Vallecano

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Getafe

14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Real Madrid

10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 2:1 Valladolid

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Celta Vigo

L W L W W

17.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 0:2 Getafe

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:1 Getafe

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:2 Rayo Vallecano

13.05 18:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:0 Real Sociedad

10.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 3:2 Sevilla

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Celta Vigo

Mallorca

1 matches total

Celta Vigo

Mallorca: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Celta Vigo: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Selta 1:2 (05.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 05.04 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.04 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Mallorca

1:2

Selta