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La Liga
La Liga Spain
02.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
02.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Mallorca - Sevilla

Spain Football
Mallorca
Mallorca
4 : 1
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mallorca - Sevilla February 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mallorca.

Line favourite market consensus: Mallorca. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.66 / X 3.04 / 2 2.89
  • 1X2 market: Mallorca 35.8% / X 31.3% / Sevilla 32.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 35.8%
X 31.3%
2 32.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 39.0%
Under 2.5 61.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Mallorca - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.89 market consensus · line only
X 3.04 market consensus · line only
1 2.66 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.19 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.72 36.8%
X 3.07 32.6%
2.99 33.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.64 37.9% 2.68 37.3% 2.78 36.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%
X 2.98 33.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.07 32.6% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
2.82 35.5% 2.87 34.8% 3.03 33.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.43 69.9%
Match center
Mallorca
L W L L D
25.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
17.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 3:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
11.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 GironaGirona
19.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Sevilla
W D L L L
24.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
19.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 ElcheElche
12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 SeltaSelta
04.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:3 LevanteLevante
20.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMallorca - Sevilla

Mallorca
1 matches total
Sevilla
Mallorca: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Mallorca 3:1 (18.10 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 18.10 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

18.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca
3:1
Sevilla