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La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.09.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction
25.09.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Elche

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
1 : 1
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Elche September 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.17 / 2 4.56
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 48.5% / X 30.3% / Elche 21.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 48.6%
X 30.3%
2 21.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.0%
Over 2.5 39.6%
Under 2.5 60.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.87 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.56 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.99 50.3%
X 3.21 31.2%
4.67 21.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.95 51.3% 2.04 49.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.99 50.3%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.21 31.2% 3.21 31.2%
4.60 21.7% 4.56 21.9% 5.00 20.0% 4.45 22.5% 4.67 21.4% 4.67 21.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.78 56.2% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6%
home_away 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.24 80.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Osasuna
L W L W L
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
31.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
24.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:0 ValenciaValencia
19.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Elche
W D W D D
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:0 OviedoOviedo
12.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:2 SevillaSevilla
29.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:0 LevanteLevante
23.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
18.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Elche

Osasuna
0 matches total
Elche
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history