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La Liga
La Liga Spain
17.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Oviedo

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
3 : 2
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Oviedo January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Osasuna.

Line favourite market consensus: Osasuna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.44 / 2 5.11
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 53.7% / X 27.7% / Oviedo 18.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 53.7%
X 27.6%
2 18.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 42.1%
Under 2.5 57.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.12 market consensus · line only
X 3.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.53 28.3%
5.33 18.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6%
5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6% 5.23 19.1% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.71 58.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.11 47.4%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Osasuna
L D W L W
10.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 GironaGirona
03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:0 AlavesAlaves
13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
08.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:0 LevanteLevante
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Oviedo
D D D L D
10.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:1 AlavesAlaves
20.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 SeltaSelta
14.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:4 SevillaSevilla
05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Oviedo

Osasuna
1 matches total
Oviedo
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Oviedo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (03.11 20:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

03.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
0:0
Oviedo