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La Liga
La Liga Spain
31.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Osasuna - Villarreal

Spain Football
Osasuna
Osasuna
2 : 2
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Osasuna - Villarreal January 31, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.78 / X 3.30 / 2 2.59
  • 1X2 market: Osasuna 34.3% / X 28.9% / Villarreal 36.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 34.3%
X 28.9%
2 36.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 49.9%
Under 2.5 50.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Osasuna - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.59 market consensus · line only
X 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 2.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.45 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.13 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.82 35.5%
X 3.35 29.9%
2.67 37.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.70 37.0% 2.78 36.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.43 29.2% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.54 39.4% 2.58 38.8% 2.65 37.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.08 48.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2% 2.15 46.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.23 44.8%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.54 64.9%
Match center
Osasuna
W W L D W
24.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
17.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:2 OviedoOviedo
10.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:1 GironaGirona
03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 3:0 AlavesAlaves
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Villarreal
L L W W L
24.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
17.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 Real BetisReal Betis
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 AlavesAlaves
03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 ElcheElche
21.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOsasuna - Villarreal

Osasuna
2 matches total
Villarreal
Osasuna: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Villarreal: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Villarreal 2:4 (03.05 14:15 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 03.05 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 6
6 Goals conceded 3

Match history

20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
1:2
Villarreal
03.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna
2:4
Villarreal