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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.02.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Athletic Club

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
1 : 2
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Athletic Club February 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.61 / X 3.04 / 2 2.25
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 26.4% / X 31.3% / Athletic Club 42.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 26.4%
X 31.3%
2 42.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 39.3%
Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.02.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 3.61 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.66 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.30 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.19 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.56 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.69 27.1%
X 3.11 32.2%
2.30 43.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.45 29.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.72 26.9% 3.40 29.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
2.22 45.1% 2.21 45.3% 2.33 42.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7%
Match center
Oviedo
W L L D D
31.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:0 GironaGirona
25.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
17.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 2:3 OsasunaOsasuna
10.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
04.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:1 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Athletic Club
W D L L D
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 4:2 LevanteLevante
01.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
24.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 SevillaSevilla
17.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:3 MallorcaMallorca
03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Athletic Club

Oviedo
1 matches total
Athletic Club
Oviedo: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Athletic Club: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Athletic Club 0:1 (09.11 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 09.11 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo
0:1
Athletic Club