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La Liga
La Liga Spain
25.09.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction
25.09.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Barcelona

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
1 : 3
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Barcelona September 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 12.58 / X 6.88 / 2 1.22
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 7.6% / X 14.0% / Barcelona 78.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 7.6%
X 13.9%
2 78.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 63.7%
Under 2.5 36.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.09.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 market consensus · line only
X 6.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 4.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.30 market consensus · line only
1 +0.5 4.25 market consensus · line only
1 +1 3.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.60 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
12.50 8.0%
X 7.27 13.8%
1.22 82.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
12.00 8.3% 13.30 7.5% 13.00 7.7% 12.75 7.8% 12.50 8.0% 12.50 8.0%
X 6.80 14.7% 7.04 14.2% 7.00 14.3% 6.75 14.8% 7.27 13.8% 7.27 13.8%
1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.83 54.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.99 50.3% 2.03 49.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.04 96.2%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 4.38 22.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.71 21.2% 4.71 21.2% 4.20 23.8%
Match center
Oviedo
L L W L L
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 ElcheElche
13.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 GetafeGetafe
30.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
24.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
15.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Barcelona
W W D W W
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 GetafeGetafe
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 6:0 ValenciaValencia
31.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
23.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:2 LevanteLevante
16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Barcelona

Oviedo
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history