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La Liga
La Liga Spain
23.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
0 : 0
Finished
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano November 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.48 / X 3.19 / 2 2.21
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 27.3% / X 29.8% / Rayo Vallecano 42.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 27.3%
X 29.8%
2 43.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.21 market consensus · line only
X 3.19 market consensus · line only
1 3.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.31 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.68 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.09 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.63 27.6%
X 3.24 30.9%
2.25 44.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.57 28.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%
2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.22 45.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.89 52.9% 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Oviedo
L D D L L
09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
03.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
25.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 3:3 GironaGirona
17.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
04.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 LevanteLevante
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Rayo Vallecano
D L W W W
09.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 VillarrealVillarreal
26.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 AlavesAlaves
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:0 LevanteLevante
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Rayo Vallecano

Oviedo
0 matches total
Rayo Vallecano
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history