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La Liga
La Liga Spain
30.08.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
30.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Oviedo - Real Sociedad

Spain Football
Oviedo
Oviedo
1 : 0
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Oviedo - Real Sociedad August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.39 / X 3.08 / 2 2.33
  • 1X2 market: Oviedo 28.1% / X 30.9% / Real Sociedad 41.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 28.1%
X 31.0%
2 40.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 39.2%
Under 2.5 60.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.08.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Oviedo - Real Sociedad

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.08 market consensus · line only
1 3.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.61 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.83 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.46 28.9%
X 3.12 32.1%
2.39 41.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.42 29.2% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.22 31.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
2.32 43.1% 2.26 44.3% 2.42 41.3% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.35 42.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.72 58.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.13 47.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4%
Match center
Oviedo
L L
24.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
15.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.5 Conceded
0 Points
Real Sociedad
D D L W L
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 ValenciaValencia
24.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:2 GironaGirona
13.05 18:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 SeltaSelta
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOviedo - Real Sociedad

Oviedo
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history