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La Liga
La Liga Spain
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
31.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Rayo Vallecano meet Barcelona on August 31, 2025 in the La Liga, Spain.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rayo Vallecano 2-2-1, Barcelona 4-0-1. Sportsbooks lean towards Barcelona, an implied 68% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona August 31, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.85 / X 5.20 / 2 1.40
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 13.9% / X 18.3% / Barcelona 67.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6% 14 books · best price +3.2%
1 14.1%
X 18.2%
2 67.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%
Over 2.5 65.9%
Under 2.5 34.1%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Market 1 13.9% @ 6.85 / X 18.3% @ 5.20 / 2 67.9% @ 1.40
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.41 market consensus · line only
X 5.21 market consensus · line only
1 6.84 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 2.95 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.61 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.76 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.74 14.8%
X 5.37 18.6%
1.42 70.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.60 15.2% 6.70 14.9% 7.47 13.4% 7.00 14.3% 7.00 14.3% 6.60 15.2%
X 5.10 19.6% 5.30 18.9% 5.42 18.5% 4.80 20.8% 5.50 18.2% 5.30 18.9%
1.41 70.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.45 69.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.15 46.5% 2.26 44.3% 2.22 45.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.19 45.7% 2.26 44.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 2.80 35.7% 3.04 32.9% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.87 34.8% 3.08 32.5%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L W D W D
25.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
15.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 3:1 GironaGirona
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:1 SeltaSelta
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 2:2 Real BetisReal Betis
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Barcelona
W W W L W
23.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:2 LevanteLevante
16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:3 VillarrealVillarreal
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Barcelona

Rayo Vallecano
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history