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La Liga
La Liga Spain
02.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Getafe

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Getafe May 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 2.99 / 2 3.52
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 39.8% / X 32.6% / Getafe 27.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 39.8%
X 32.6%
2 27.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.52 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.45 40.8%
X 2.99 33.4%
3.52 28.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.34 74.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 1.5 1.56 64.1%
Under 1.5 2.54 39.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.63 61.4%
2.37 42.2%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L D L L W
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ValenciaValencia
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
04.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 EspanyolEspanyol
26.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points
Getafe
L L L W D
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
18.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
12.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:3 Las PalmasLas Palmas
06.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 4:0 Valladolid
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:1 ValenciaValencia
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Getafe

Rayo Vallecano
0 matches total
Getafe
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history