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La Liga
La Liga Spain
02.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Getafe

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1
Finished
Getafe
Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Getafe January 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 2.85 / 2 4.59
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 45.9% / X 33.4% / Getafe 20.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 71.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 45.9%
X 33.4%
2 20.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 28.2%
Under 2.5 71.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.61 market consensus · line only
X 2.85 market consensus · line only
1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.31 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.30 market consensus · line only
2 +1 10.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.31 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.45 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.10 47.6%
X 2.91 34.4%
4.78 20.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.02 49.5% 2.08 48.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3%
X 2.78 36.0% 2.87 34.8% 2.97 33.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.88 34.7% 2.85 35.1%
4.85 20.6% 4.65 21.5% 4.67 21.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.60 21.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.42 70.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6%
yes 2.70 37.0% 2.68 37.3% 2.58 38.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.58 38.8% 2.78 36.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.77 56.5%
home_away 1.38 72.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L D L D D
21.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 ElcheElche
15.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Real BetisReal Betis
07.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ValenciaValencia
23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 OviedoOviedo
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Getafe
L L L W L
21.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:4 Real BetisReal Betis
13.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
06.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:2 VillarrealVillarreal
28.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Getafe 1:0 ElcheElche
23.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Getafe 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Getafe

Rayo Vallecano
1 matches total
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Getafe: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Rayo Vallecano 1:0 (02.05 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 02.05 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Getafe