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La Liga Spain

04.03.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

04.03.2026 18:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano - Oviedo

Spain Football

Rayo Vallecano

3 : 0

Finished

Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Oviedo March 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.

Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.63 / 2 5.12
1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 55.2% / X 26.2% / Oviedo 18.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 55.3%

X 26.2%

2 18.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%

Over 2.5 44.2%

Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 04.03.2026 18:00 UTC

Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.13 market consensus · line only

X 3.64 market consensus · line only

1 1.72 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.15 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.17 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.15 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.60 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.80 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.74 57.5%
X	3.72 26.9%
	5.28 18.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.69 59.2%	1.72 58.1%	1.76 56.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%
X	3.55 28.2%	3.75 26.7%	3.84 26.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%
	5.10 19.6%	5.10 19.6%	5.33 18.8%	4.80 20.8%	5.25 19.1%	5.40 18.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.75 57.1%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.77 56.5%
yes	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	1.99 50.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	2.13 47.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.10 47.6%	2.18 45.9%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.15 87.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.13 88.5%

Match center

Rayo Vallecano

D D W L L

28.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Athletic Club

21.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Real Betis

15.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Atletiko Madrid

01.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:2 Real Madrid

24.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Osasuna

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Oviedo

L D L W L

28.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 0:1 Atletiko Madrid

21.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 3:3 Real Sociedad

15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:2 Athletic Club

31.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:0 Girona

25.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 0:3 Barselona

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano

1 matches total

Oviedo

Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Oviedo: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (23.11 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

23.11 13:00 UTC

La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

0:0

Oviedo