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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
15.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Real Betis

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 2
Finished
Real Betis
Real Betis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Real Betis May 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.23 / X 3.38 / 2 2.37
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 30.1% / X 28.8% / Real Betis 41.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 30.1%
X 28.8%
2 41.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 51.9%
Under 2.5 48.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Real Betis

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 3.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.23 31.0%
X 3.38 29.6%
2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.39 71.9%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.64 61.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.88 53.2%
Under 2.5 2.03 49.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.29 43.7%
1.67 59.9%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
W W L D L
09.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
02.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:0 GetafeGetafe
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ValenciaValencia
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Real Betis
D W W W L
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
04.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
24.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 5:1 Valladolid
21.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 3:1 GironaGirona
13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points