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La Liga
La Liga Spain
15.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Rayo Vallecano - Real Betis

Spain Football
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
0 : 0
Finished
Real Betis
Real Betis

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Real Betis December 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.81 / X 3.32 / 2 2.54
  • 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 33.9% / X 28.7% / Real Betis 37.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 33.9%
X 28.7%
2 37.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.0%
Under 2.5 51.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Rayo Vallecano - Real Betis

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.54 market consensus · line only
X 3.33 market consensus · line only
1 2.81 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.88 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.07 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.91 34.4%
X 3.39 29.5%
2.57 38.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.72 36.8% 2.94 34.0% 2.86 35.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1%
X 3.35 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.46 28.9% 3.20 31.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.30 30.3%
2.54 39.4% 2.53 39.5% 2.66 37.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.52 39.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.04 49.0% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.69 59.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.69 59.2% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.48 67.6% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.47 68.0%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L D D D L
07.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:1 EspanyolEspanyol
01.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 1:1 ValenciaValencia
23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 OviedoOviedo
09.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano 0:4 VillarrealVillarreal
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
3 Points
Real Betis
L W D D W
06.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 3:5 BarselonaBarselona
30.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:0 SevillaSevilla
23.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 GironaGirona
09.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 ValenciaValencia
02.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 3:0 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Real Betis

Rayo Vallecano
1 matches total
Real Betis
Rayo Vallecano: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Real Betis: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 15.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (15.05 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
2:2
Real Betis