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Start
09.11.2025 15:15 UTC
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09.11.2025 15:15 UTC
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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid
0
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0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid November 9, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.56 / X 4.87 / 2 1.44
- 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 14.6% / X 19.6% / Real Madrid 65.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
14.5%
X
19.5%
2
66.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5
61.1%
Under 2.5
38.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Rayo Vallecano - Real Madrid
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.44
market consensus · line only
X
4.89
market consensus · line only
1
6.59
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.12
market consensus · line only
12
1.19
market consensus · line only
1X
2.77
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.14
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.45
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.71
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.56
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.45
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.08
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.71
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 7.04 14.2% | |
| X | 5.14 19.5% |
| 1.43 69.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.40 15.6% | 6.60 15.2% | 6.93 14.4% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.40 15.6% | |
| X | 4.75 21.1% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.01 20.0% | 4.60 21.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.85 20.6% |
| 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.50 66.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.12 89.3% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 2.70 37.0% | 2.82 35.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.81 35.6% |
Match center
Rayo Vallecano
L
W
W
W
L
01.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:4
Villarreal
Villarreal
26.10 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Alaves
Alaves
19.10 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
3:0
Levante
Levante
05.10 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
28.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Sevilla
Sevilla
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
L
01.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:0
Valencia
Valencia
26.10 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Barselona
Barselona
19.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:0
Getafe
Getafe
04.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:1
Villarreal
Villarreal
27.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:5
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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