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Start
28.09.2025 12:00 UTC
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28.09.2025 12:00 UTC
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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla September 28, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Rayo Vallecano.
Line favourite market consensus: Rayo Vallecano. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.27 / 2 3.59
- 1X2 market: Rayo Vallecano 44.4% / X 29.1% / Sevilla 26.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
44.3%
X
29.1%
2
26.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.59
market consensus · line only
X
3.28
market consensus · line only
1
2.15
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.72
market consensus · line only
12
1.34
market consensus · line only
1X
1.30
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.34
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.51
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.10
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.78
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.94
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.81
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | |
| X | 3.34 29.9% |
| 3.65 27.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.10 47.6% | |
| X | 3.25 30.8% | 3.35 29.9% | 3.43 29.2% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.20 31.3% |
| 3.55 28.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.93 51.8% | 2.03 49.3% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.74 57.5% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
| home_draw | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.32 75.8% |
Match center
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D
L
D
L
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Rayo Vallecano
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Osasuna
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31.08 19:30 UTC
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1:1
Barselona
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25.08 17:30 UTC
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0:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
2
Points
Sevilla
L
W
D
W
L
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La Liga
Sevilla
1:2
Villarreal
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20.09 16:30 UTC
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Sevilla
2:1
Alaves
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12.09 19:00 UTC
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Sevilla
2:2
Elche
Elche
30.08 17:30 UTC
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Sevilla
2:0
Girona
Girona
25.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
1:2
Getafe
Getafe
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.4
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyRayo Vallecano - Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form