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La Liga
La Liga Spain
22.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Betis - Alaves

Spain Football
Real Betis
Real Betis
1 : 0
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - Alaves August 22, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite Fonbet: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.95 / X 3.35 / 2 4.40
  • 1X2 market: Real Betis 49.4% / X 28.7% / Alaves 21.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 49.4%
X 28.7%
2 21.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 42.3%
Under 2.5 57.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.08.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Real Betis - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.40 Fonbet · line only
X 3.35 Fonbet · line only
1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.85 Fonbet · line only
12 1.32 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 4.14 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.98 50.5%
X 3.36 29.8%
4.43 22.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.93 51.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9% 3.48 28.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0%
4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.53 22.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Real Betis
D D L D D
18.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 ElcheElche
23.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 ValenciaValencia
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
15.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:2 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
11.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Alaves
W D W W L
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 LevanteLevante
24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 Valladolid
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 ValenciaValencia
11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Betis - Alaves

Real Betis
0 matches total
Alaves
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history