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La Liga
La Liga Spain
27.10.2024 16:30 UTC Match prediction
27.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Betis - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Real Betis
Real Betis
1 : 0
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - Atletico Madrid October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.45 / X 3.40 / 2 2.25
  • 1X2 market: Real Betis 28.2% / X 28.6% / Atletico Madrid 43.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 28.2%
X 28.6%
2 43.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 47.6%
Under 2.5 52.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Real Betis - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.25 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 3.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.45 29.0%
X 3.40 29.4%
2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.70 58.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.05 48.8%
Under 2.5 1.86 53.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.46 40.7%
1.60 62.5%
Match center
Real Betis
W L W D L
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Real Betis 1:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
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2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Atletico Madrid
W D D W D
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Atletico Madrid 3:1 Leganes
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Atletico Madrid 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
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Atletico Madrid 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
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2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points