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La Liga Spain

34 round 03.05.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

03.05.2026 16:30 UTC 34 round

Finished

La Liga

Real Betis - Oviedo

Spain Football

Stadium Olimpiyskiy Stadium

Real Betis

3 : 0

Finished

Oviedo

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Real Betis — 56%

1 · Real Betis ✓ Pick55.9%

X · draw24.1%

2 · Oviedo20.0%

Model estimate: win Real Betis 55.9%, draw 24.1%, win Oviedo 20.0%. Model favourite — Real Betis.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - Oviedo May 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Strongest: Real Betis - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.57 / X 4.14 / 2 5.91
1X2 market: Real Betis 60.8% / X 23.0% / Oviedo 16.2%
Glicko: Real Betis 55.9% / X 24.1% / Oviedo 20.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 48.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 ✓ Pick 60.8%

X 23.1%

2 16.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 50.5%

Under 2.5 49.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 5/5

Confidence 58.1%

Total Over 2.5

Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Stadium Olimpiko de Sevilya - La Kartukha (Sevilya, Spain), 57 578 zriteley (100% pri vmestimosti 57 619)

Referee Adrian Kordero Vega

Start 03.05.2026 16:30 UTC

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Real Betis 56%

💹 Market Real Betis 6083%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Real Betis - Oviedo

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Betis - Ovedo, 3 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 34 round. Betis - Ovedo, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

7/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:0

Events 14

Statistics 22

Lineups 46

min Event Player Team

22' 22' Normal Goal | Cucho Hernandez C. Hernandez Real Betis

45' 45' Normal Goal | A. Ezzalzouli | assist/sub out: Antony A. Ezzalzouli Real Betis

54' 54' Goal cancelled | F. Vinas F. Vinas Oviedo

55' 55' Substitution 1 | N. Fonseca | assist/sub out: S. Cazorla N. Fonseca Oviedo

58' 58' Normal Goal | Cucho Hernandez | assist/sub out: A. Ezzalzouli C. Hernandez Real Betis

62' 62' Substitution 1 | Antony | assist/sub out: M. Roca Antony Real Betis

63' 63' Substitution 2 | Pablo Fornals | assist/sub out: R. Riquelme Pablo Fornals Real Betis

64' 64' Substitution 2 | T. Fernandez | assist/sub out: H. Hassan T. Fernández Oviedo

Metric Real Betis Oviedo SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.53 1.59 final

Zablokirovannye udary 4 4 final

Shots off target 1 8 final

Shots on target 5 5 final

Udary vsego 10 17 final

Fouls soversheno 9 4 final

Offsides 0 3 final

Ball possession, % 55 45 final

Real Betis #1 Álvaro Vallés, #10 A. Ezzalzouli, #12 R. Rodriguez, #20 G. Lo Celso, #4 Natan, #14 S. Amrabat, #19 C. Hernandez, #3 Diego Llorente, #7 Antony, #8 Pablo Fornals, #2 Héctor Bellerín

Oviedo #9 F. Vinas, #13 A. Escandell, #15 T. Fernández, #25 J. Lopez, #5 A. Reina, #11 S. Colombatto, #12 D. Calvo, #4 D. Costas, #23 N. Fonseca, #7 I. Chaira, #22 N. Vidal

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Escandell Oviedo football.player.assists 0

A. Escandell Oviedo Seyvy 3

A. Escandell Oviedo football.player.minutes_played 90

A. Escandell Oviedo Klyuchevye pasy 29

A. Escandell Oviedo Reyting 2

A. Escandell Oviedo Reyting (staryy) 6.3

A. Escandell Oviedo Otbory vsego 24

A. Fores Oviedo Seyvy 0

A. Reina Oviedo football.player.assists 0

A. Reina Oviedo Edinoborstva vsego 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Real Betis 61.4% 55.9% market and model agree

Draw 22.7% 24.1% draw risk

Oviedo 15.9% 20.0%

xG - 1.69 : 0.90

Total 2.5 Over 48.5% - Under 51.5%

Model check - - Difference 0.05

Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 55.9% / 24.1% / 20.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,566 / 1,427 Real Betis / Oviedo

RD 71 / 75 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.91 market consensus · no value · model 20.0%

X 4.14 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 55.9%

Double chance

X2 2.40 market consensus · no value · model 44.1%

12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 75.9%

1X 1.14 market consensus · no value · model 80.0%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.44 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.87 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.27 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.70 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · no value · model 48.5%

Under 2.5 1.93 market consensus · no value · model 51.5%

Both teams to score

No 1.82 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.55 64.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.60 62.5%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%
X	4.10 24.4%	4.37 22.9%	4.10 24.4%	4.35 23.0%	4.00 25.0%	4.10 24.4%
	5.50 18.2%	5.94 16.8%	6.00 16.7%	6.00 16.7%	5.50 18.2%	6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet	William Hill
no	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.78 56.2%	1.81 55.3%	1.86 53.8%	1.85 54.1%
yes	1.93 51.8%	1.89 52.9%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.90 52.6%	1.89 52.9%	1.86 53.8%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
draw_away	2.40 41.7%	2.46 40.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.45 40.8%	2.38 42.0%	2.38 42.0%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.12 89.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.14 87.7%	1.16 86.2%	1.10 90.9%	1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.05 95.2%	1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.14 87.7%
Over 1.5	1.28 78.1%	1.26 79.4%
Over 1.75	—	1.33 75.2%
Over 2.0	—	1.41 70.9%
Over 2.25	—	1.72 58.1%
Over 2.5	1.85 54.1%	—
Over 3.5	3.25 30.8%	—
Over 4.5	6.25 16.0%	—
Under 0.5	9.50 10.5%	—
Under 1.5	3.55 28.2%	—
Under 2.5	1.90 52.6%	—
Under 3.5	1.33 75.2%	—
Under 4.5	1.11 90.1%	—

Match center

Real Betis

Founded 1907

Oviedo

Founded 1926

Match center

Real Betis

MB M. Bartra Heel Injury

AO A. Ortiz Hamstring Injury

Oviedo

LD L. Dendoncker Injury

OE O. Ejaria Injury

Mark Bartra Ankhel Ortis Travmirovannye Leander Dendonker

Real Betis Founded: 1907

Oviedo Founded: 1926

Match center

Real Betis

D W D D L

24.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 1:1 Real Madrid

21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 3:2 Girona

12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 1:1 Osasuna

04.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 0:0 Espanyol

22.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Betis 1:2 Athletic Club

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Oviedo

L D W W L

26.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:2 Elche

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:1 Villarreal

12.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 3:0 Selta

05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:0 Sevilla

21.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 2:4 Levante

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.4 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Betis - Oviedo

Real Betis

1 matches total

Oviedo

Real Betis: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Oviedo: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 10.01 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (10.01 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

10.01 13:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Betis

1:1

Oviedo

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Real Betis

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Oviedo

33 Games 33

12 Wins 6

14 Draws 10

7 Losses 17

49 Scored 26

41 Conceded 51

50 Points 28

90.58 Attacks 83.73

45.42 Dangerous attacks 36.58

0 Big chances 0

13.91 Shots on goal 9.7

4.73 Shots on target 3.3

daleniya 0.24 Goly Kucho Ernandes Pablo Fornals 1:0 22' Abde Ezzalzuli Antoni 2:0 45' Kucho Ernandes Abde Ezzalzuli 3:0 58' VAR Federiko Vinyas 53'

Betis Ovedo 33 Games 33 12 Wins 6 14 Draws 10 7 Losses 17 49 Scored 26 41 Conceded 51 50 Points 28 90.58 Attacks 83.73 45.42 Dangerous attacks 36.58 0 Big chances 0 13.91 Shots on goal 9.7 4.73 Udary v stvor 3.3 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.48 Uglovye 3.94 1.55 Offsaydy 2 10.67 Foly 12.82 50.7 % vladeniya myachom 45.7 1.97 Warnings 2.15 0.03 Sendoffs 0.24 Goly Kucho Ernandes Pablo Fornals 1:0 22' Abde Ezzalzuli Antoni 2:0 45' Kucho Ernandes Abde Ezzalzuli 3:0 58' VAR Federiko Vinyas 53'