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La Liga
La Liga Spain
17.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Betis - Villarreal

Spain Football
Real Betis
Real Betis
2 : 0
Finished
Villarreal
Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - Villarreal January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.69 / X 3.48 / 2 2.55
  • 1X2 market: Real Betis 35.3% / X 27.4% / Villarreal 37.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 35.4%
X 27.3%
2 37.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Real Betis - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · line only
X 3.48 market consensus · line only
1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.52 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.37 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.77 36.1%
X 3.59 27.9%
2.58 38.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.68 37.3% 2.74 36.5% 2.82 35.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.72 36.8%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%
2.50 40.0% 2.51 39.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.55 39.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.42 41.3% 2.36 42.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.33 42.9% 2.54 39.4%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.54 64.9%
Match center
Real Betis
D L W D L
10.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 OviedoOviedo
04.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:5 Real MadridReal Madrid
21.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 4:0 GetafeGetafe
15.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
06.12 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 3:5 BarselonaBarselona
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
5 Points
Villarreal
W W L W W
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 AlavesAlaves
03.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:1 ElcheElche
21.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
06.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 2:0 GetafeGetafe
30.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Villarreal 3:2 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Betis - Villarreal

Real Betis
2 matches total
Villarreal
Real Betis: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Villarreal: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Villarreal 1:2 (13.04 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 18.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (18.10 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

18.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis
2:2
Villarreal
13.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis
1:2
Villarreal