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La Liga Spain

17.01.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

17.01.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Madrid - Levante

Spain Football

Real Madrid

2 : 0

Finished

Levante

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Levante January 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / X 8.32 / 2 14.49
1X2 market: Real Madrid 81.8% / X 11.5% / Levante 6.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 75.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.4%

1 81.9%

X 11.5%

2 6.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%

Over 2.5 74.9%

Under 2.5 25.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.01.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Real Madrid - Levante

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 8.36 market consensus · line only

1 1.17 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 5.17 market consensus · line only

12 1.08 market consensus · line only

1X 1.03 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.88 market consensus · line only

2 -1 4.16 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.25 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.74 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.03 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.75 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.17 85.5%
X	9.00 11.1%
	16.00 6.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.16 86.2%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%
X	8.20 12.2%	8.60 11.6%	9.20 10.9%	7.50 13.3%	8.00 12.5%	7.70 13.0%
	12.50 8.0%	14.50 6.9%	14.80 6.8%	13.00 7.7%	13.00 7.7%	17.50 5.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.03 49.3%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%	2.07 48.3%	2.05 48.8%	2.04 49.0%	1.99 50.3%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.79 55.9%	1.69 59.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.70 58.8%	1.73 57.8%	1.69 59.2%	1.87 53.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	5.00 20.0%	5.35 18.7%	4.80 20.8%	5.00 20.0%	5.10 19.6%	5.40 18.5%
home_away	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.08 92.6%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.03 97.1%

Match center

Real Madrid

W W W L W

04.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 5:1 Real Betis

20.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Sevilla

14.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Alaves

07.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 0:2 Selta

03.12 18:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 3:0 Athletic Club

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

12 Points

Levante

D W D L L

11.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Levante 1:1 Espanyol

04.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Levante 3:0 Sevilla

20.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Levante 1:1 Real Sociedad

08.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Levante 0:2 Osasuna

29.11 17:30 UTC La Liga

Levante 0:2 Athletic Club

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Levante

Real Madrid

1 matches total

Levante

Real Madrid: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Levante: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 4:1 (23.09 19:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 23.09 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

23.09 19:30 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

4:1

Levante