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La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.04.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction
05.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Madrid - Valencia

Spain Football
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1 : 2
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Valencia April 5, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.21 / 2 10.38
  • 1X2 market: Real Madrid 75.4% / X 15.4% / Valencia 9.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 75.4%
X 15.4%
2 9.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.21 market consensus · line only
1 1.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.01 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.27 78.7%
X 6.21 16.1%
10.38 9.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.01 24.9%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.18 45.9%
Under 3.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.09 91.7%
8.55 11.7%
Match center
Real Madrid
L W W D W
26.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 0:4 BarselonaBarselona
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 SeltaSelta
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
29.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
24.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:2 AlavesAlaves
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points
Valencia
D L D L D
27.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 GetafeGetafe
21.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:3 Las PalmasLas Palmas
04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 Leganes
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Valencia

Real Madrid
0 matches total
Valencia
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history