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La Liga Spain

01.11.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction

01.11.2025 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Madrid - Valencia

Spain Football

Real Madrid

4 : 0

Finished

Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Valencia November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.17 / X 8.24 / 2 16.31
1X2 market: Real Madrid 82.3% / X 11.7% / Valencia 6.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 70.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%

1 82.4%

X 11.7%

2 5.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%

Over 2.5 70.4%

Under 2.5 29.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.11.2025 20:00 UTC

Match center

Real Madrid - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 8.32 market consensus · line only

1 1.17 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 5.35 market consensus · line only

12 1.10 market consensus · line only

1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only

2 -1 4.33 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.20 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.33 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.16 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.82 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.15 87.0%
X	8.84 11.3%
	19.35 5.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%
X	8.00 12.5%	8.60 11.6%	7.50 13.3%	8.40 11.9%	8.84 11.3%	8.84 11.3%
	14.50 6.9%	16.50 6.1%	15.00 6.7%	16.50 6.1%	19.35 5.2%	19.35 5.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.82 55.0%	1.84 54.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.79 55.9%	1.85 54.1%
yes	2.00 50.0%	1.88 53.2%	1.95 51.3%	1.88 53.2%	2.08 48.1%	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	5.35 18.7%	5.00 20.0%	5.60 17.9%	5.58 17.9%	5.58 17.9%	5.00 20.0%
home_away	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%

Match center

Real Madrid

W W W L W

26.10 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Barselona

19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:0 Getafe

04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 3:1 Villarreal

27.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:5 Atletiko Madrid

23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:1 Levante

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

12 Points

Valencia

L D L L D

25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:2 Villarreal

20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:0 Alaves

04.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:2 Girona

30.09 18:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:2 Oviedo

23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 2:2 Espanyol

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Valencia

Real Madrid

1 matches total

Valencia

Real Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Valencia: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Valencia 1:2 (05.04 14:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 05.04 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.04 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

1:2

Valencia