Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
01.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Athletic Club

Spain Football
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
3 : 2
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Athletic Club November 1, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.79 / X 2.99 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 34.5% / X 32.2% / Athletic Club 33.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 34.5%
X 32.2%
2 33.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.6%
Over 2.5 37.7%
Under 2.5 62.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 01.11.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.91 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.47 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.92 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.77 36.1%
X 3.00 33.3%
3.00 33.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.72 36.8% 2.86 35.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.83 35.3% 2.77 36.1% 2.77 36.1%
X 2.95 33.9% 3.06 32.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.02 33.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%
2.95 33.9% 2.95 33.9% 2.70 37.0% 2.92 34.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
yes 1.99 50.3% 1.99 50.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.11 47.4% 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.40 71.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
Real Sociedad
W D L L W
24.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:1 SevillaSevilla
19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 SeltaSelta
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:0 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Athletic Club
L D W L D
25.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 GetafeGetafe
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 ElcheElche
04.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 VillarrealVillarreal
23.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 GironaGirona
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Athletic Club

Real Sociedad
1 matches total
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Athletic Club: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (04.05 19:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:0
Athletic Club