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La Liga Spain

18.01.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

18.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Barcelona

Spain Football

Real Sociedad

2 : 1

Finished

Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Barcelona January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.75 / X 4.47 / 2 1.63
1X2 market: Real Sociedad 20.1% / X 21.3% / Barcelona 58.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 67.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 20.1%

X 21.4%

2 58.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 67.5%

Under 2.5 32.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.01.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Real Sociedad - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.63 market consensus · line only

X 4.48 market consensus · line only

1 4.76 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.19 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 2.31 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.04 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.89 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.66 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.45 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	4.87 20.5%
X	4.48 22.3%
	1.65 60.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	4.90 20.4%	4.50 22.2%	4.93 20.3%	4.60 21.7%	4.75 21.1%	4.65 21.5%
X	4.50 22.2%	4.65 21.5%	4.62 21.7%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%
	1.57 63.7%	1.66 60.2%	1.68 59.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.62 38.2%	2.75 36.4%	2.66 37.6%	2.60 38.5%	2.62 38.2%	2.57 38.9%	2.80 35.7%	2.62 38.2%	2.77 36.1%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.46 68.5%	1.43 69.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.23 81.3%	1.21 82.6%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.23 81.3%
home_draw	2.30 43.5%	2.33 42.9%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.32 43.1%

Match center

Real Sociedad

W D D L L

09.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:1 Getafe

04.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

20.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Levante

12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:2 Girona

06.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:1 Alaves

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Barcelona

W W W W W

03.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:0 Espanyol

21.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:0 Villarreal

13.12 17:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:0 Osasuna

06.12 17:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 5:3 Real Betis

02.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 3:1 Atletiko Madrid

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.8 Scored

0.8 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Barcelona

Real Sociedad

1 matches total

Barcelona

Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Barcelona: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Barselona 1:2 (28.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 28.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

28.09 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

1:2

Barselona