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La Liga
La Liga Spain
13.05.2025 18:00 UTC Match prediction
13.05.2025 18:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Celta Vigo

Spain Football
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
0 : 1
Finished
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Celta Vigo May 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 3.38 / 2 3.28
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 41.6% / X 28.8% / Celta Vigo 29.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 41.6%
X 28.8%
2 29.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 46.5%
Under 2.5 53.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.05.2025 18:00 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.38 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.36 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.34 42.7%
X 3.38 29.6%
3.28 30.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.08 48.1%
Under 2.5 1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.65 60.6%
2.33 42.9%
Match center
Real Sociedad
L D L D L
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 AlavesAlaves
20.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:2 VillarrealVillarreal
12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 MallorcaMallorca
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Celta Vigo
W L W L L
10.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:2 SevillaSevilla
04.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 2:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:0 VillarrealVillarreal
19.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
12.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Celta Vigo 0:2 EspanyolEspanyol
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Celta Vigo

Real Sociedad
0 matches total
Celta Vigo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history