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La Liga Spain

25.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

25.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Celta Vigo

Spain Football

Real Sociedad

3 : 1

Finished

Celta Vigo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Celta Vigo January 25, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.15 / X 3.32 / 2 3.53
1X2 market: Real Sociedad 44.3% / X 28.7% / Celta Vigo 27.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 44.3%

X 28.7%

2 27.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 46.2%

Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 25.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Real Sociedad - Celta Vigo

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.53 market consensus · line only

X 3.32 market consensus · line only

1 2.15 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.72 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.30 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.48 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.63 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.94 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.20 45.5%
X	3.37 29.7%
	3.61 27.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.10 47.6%	2.16 46.3%	2.22 45.1%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.18 45.9%
X	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.46 28.9%	3.20 31.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.30 30.3%
	3.55 28.2%	3.50 28.6%	3.64 27.5%	3.40 29.4%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.90 52.6%	1.97 50.8%	1.92 52.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.95 51.3%	1.90 52.6%	2.04 49.0%
yes	1.85 54.1%	1.84 54.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%
home_away	1.28 78.1%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.32 75.8%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%

Match center

Real Sociedad

W W D D L

18.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:1 Barselona

09.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:1 Getafe

04.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko Madrid

20.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Levante

12.12 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:2 Girona

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Celta Vigo

W W W D W

18.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 3:0 Rayo Vallecano

12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 1:0 Sevilla

03.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 4:1 Valencia

20.12 13:00 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 0:0 Oviedo

14.12 15:15 UTC La Liga

Celta Vigo 2:0 Athletic Club

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Celta Vigo

Real Sociedad

2 matches total

Celta Vigo

Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Celta Vigo: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Selta 0:1 (13.05 18:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 19.10 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (19.10 14:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.10 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

1:1

Selta

13.05 18:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

0:1

Selta