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La Liga
La Liga Spain
12.09.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
12.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Elche

Spain Football
Sevilla
Sevilla
2 : 2
Finished
Elche
Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Elche September 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.50 / 2 5.00
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 54.1% / X 27.0% / Elche 18.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 54.1%
X 27.0%
2 18.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Elche

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.00 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.75 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.40 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.75 57.1%
X 3.50 28.6%
5.00 20.0%

Match Winner

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome Bet365
no 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.00 50.0%

Double chance

Outcome Bet365 SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Sevilla
W L L L L
30.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:0 GironaGirona
25.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 GetafeGetafe
17.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:3 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
25.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:4 VillarrealVillarreal
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Elche
W D D
29.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 2:0 LevanteLevante
23.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
18.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Elche 1:1 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.3 Scored
0.7 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Elche

Sevilla
0 matches total
Elche
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history