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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.10.2025 12:00 UTC Match prediction
18.10.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Mallorca

Spain Football
Sevilla
Sevilla
1 : 3
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Mallorca October 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.86 / X 3.50 / 2 4.70
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 51.9% / X 27.6% / Mallorca 20.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 51.9%
X 27.6%
2 20.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 43.4%
Under 2.5 56.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.10.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.73 market consensus · line only
X 3.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.86 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.99 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.66 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.84 54.4%
X 3.51 28.5%
4.97 20.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.86 53.8% 1.92 52.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.84 54.4% 1.84 54.4%
X 3.45 29.0% 3.65 27.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.58 27.9% 3.51 28.5% 3.51 28.5%
4.70 21.3% 4.54 22.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.45 22.5% 4.97 20.1% 4.97 20.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.84 54.4% 1.77 56.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.98 50.5% 1.96 51.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 2.05 48.8% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.98 50.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.99 50.3% 2.06 48.5% 2.06 48.5% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.21 82.6% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Sevilla
W W L W D
05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 4:1 BarselonaBarselona
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 AlavesAlaves
12.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 ElcheElche
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Mallorca
L W L D L
04.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
27.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 AlavesAlaves
24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:3 EspanyolEspanyol
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Mallorca

Sevilla
0 matches total
Mallorca
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history